🧭 The Walk of Shame for Going Back to the Tent
Somalia’s Elusive One Man, One Vote Dream
📅 Published: June 2025
✍️ By The Somali Diary
Introduction
For a nation that has spent the better part of two decades trying to untangle itself from conflict, fragmentation, and fragile governance, the promise of “one man, one vote” in Somalia was always more than a procedural ambition. It was a symbolic return to full citizenship, a path toward dignity and democratic legitimacy.
But as Somalia stumbles toward another election cycle, the reality has become stark: the country is once again walking back to the "tent" — the indirect, clan-based electoral model. This isn’t just a compromise. To many, it is a national embarrassment. A walk of shame.
The Idealism of One Man, One Vote
The administration of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud came into office with a bold commitment to implement direct elections. In April 2023, the Federal Government and four Federal Member States agreed on a framework to hold direct elections by 2024 — a significant departure from the 4.5 clan-based model (VOA News, 2023).
“We must build a Somalia where every citizen has an equal voice — not one determined by clan or elite privilege.”
— President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, 2023
This vision inspired reform-minded Somalis and donors alike. But rhetoric, as history has shown, is not a substitute for security, infrastructure, or political consensus.
Opposition Voices: More Than Just Politics
Somalia’s opposition leaders — including former Presidents Farmaajo and Sharif Sheikh Ahmed — have criticized the government’s approach not only for its exclusivity, but also for its lack of feasibility. Their objections are grounded in harsh realities:
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The Federal Government lacks control over vast swaths of the country.
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The security environment remains unstable.
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There is no consensus on the recently amended constitution, which was passed without inclusive consultation (Hiiraan Online, 2024).
Bottlenecks: More Than Logistical
🔒 1. Security
Somalia remains a battleground. In 2023, over 1,200 civilians were killed or injured in conflict-related violence — mostly due to Al-Shabaab attacks (UNSOM Human Rights Report, 2023). How can you set up polling stations in areas the state doesn’t control?
🏛️ 2. Institutional Weakness
The National Independent Electoral Commission (NIEC) is underfunded and lacks operational independence. Plans for biometric voter registration have stalled (International Crisis Group, 2023).
🌍 3. Federal Disunity
Puntland rejected the 2023 electoral deal outright and held its own direct elections in 2024 — outside of the federal framework (BBC Somali, 2024).
📜 4. Legal Uncertainty
The new constitutional amendments restructured Somalia’s political system without national consensus. This shift — from parliamentary to presidential — has been rejected by key states and opposition figures, sparking a new constitutional crisis (Garowe Online, 2024).
Comparative Snapshot: Regional Lessons
🇪🇹 Ethiopia
Despite having national elections, ethnic divisions and ongoing conflict undermine democratic legitimacy (HRW, 2021).
🇸🇸 South Sudan
More than a decade after independence, the country still hasn’t held elections due to insecurity and elite fragmentation (UNMISS, 2023).
🇰🇪 Kenya
Although elections are often contested, a functioning judiciary and electoral body provide the backbone for regular universal suffrage (Carter Center, 2022).
Back to the Tent: Familiar, But Flawed
Somalia's “tent” model — where clan elders select electoral delegates, who then elect MPs and the president — has enabled peaceful transitions in 2012, 2017, and 2022. But:
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It excludes millions of citizens.
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It entrenches elite and clan dominance.
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It undermines democratic legitimacy (Heritage Institute, 2022).
Returning to this model in 2025 is not progress, but damage control.
Final Thoughts: Beyond the Shame
Going back to the tent is not just a setback — it’s a sign that the state-building project has hit a wall. But this moment also offers a chance for honest self-assessment.
✅ What Somalia Needs:
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A national reconciliation process between the center and states.
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Security sector reform to regain control over territory.
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An inclusive, participatory constitutional review process.
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Realistic electoral timelines based on actual readiness, not political theatre.
📌 Conclusion
The “walk of shame” is a bitter pill. But pretending Somalia is ready for one man, one vote when it’s not — would be an even greater lie. Progress is only meaningful when it’s rooted in reality.
If the return to the tent sparks reflection and reform, not resignation, it may yet become a turning point.
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